Fixed costs summary
In most budgets you have fixed costs and variable costs. The fixed cost summary shows a relatively stable percentage for the fixed costs to the total budget and to the municipal budget. It would be nice to have the School side of this too but we don't for now. The table and chart shows the fixed costs totals and percents from 2000 to 2019. There is not a whole lot of change.
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| a relatively stable percentage for the fixed costs to the total budget and to the municipal budget |
Tax rate: history and split vs. single rates
Some of the discussion in social media has been consideration of a split rate vs. the single rate we have. The situation we are in doesn't warrant a split rate. The tax base is 80% residential and 20% commercial/industrial. To reduce the residential burden by $1 would increase the commercial/industrial rate by $4. We don't have a diverse enough economy to make that work.
The table shows the tax rate over the years and how it goes down when the total valuation increases, and goes up when the valuation decreases. There will always be an increase in the actual tax levy, period. The amount will increase even if it stays within 2.5%. The rate as a percent fluctuates with the real estate valuation.
Getting back to the split vs. single rate, the chart shows we can be successful as long as there is growth in real estate valuation and especially new growth. The new growth allows Franklin to increase the tax revenue and stay within the 2.5%. The problem this year, this budget, is the forecast for next years revenue - the pandemic effect.
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| tax rate over the years |
Revenue forecast
The pandemic effect is where we have a major problem this year. Look at the revenue information. The revenue forecast for new growth drops significantly. The revenue forecast for local receipts also drops significantly. So even without a change in the State aid we have a problem.
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| revenue forecast for local receipts and new growth drops |
Systemic issue
Look at the 10 year average for the various departments costs. Aside from the **Other Municipal category, the major budget items are in a 3-4% increase year over year. As mentioned above, we 'only' get 2.5% unless the new growth increase is such to cover these.
Our choice, is to decide what we want Franklin to look like. What services do we provide to our schools and community? As shown, some years, the new growth can provide additional revenue but in other years, we also need to dip into our own pocket. The question is whether we are willing to do so and by how much?
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| 3-4% increase year over year |
The budget docs from which this info came from can be found
Fixed costs
- Town doc https://www.franklinma.gov/town-budget/files/appendix-c3-historic-data-fixed-costs
My chart table https://drive.google.com/file/d/1yzaPrm5Uuij7wFeav2dzPqaedScY936-/view?usp=sharing
- Town doc https://www.franklinma.gov/town-budget/files/appendix-c7-historic-data-new-growth
- My chart table https://drive.google.com/file/d/128NbT-0secNI0e0K7esMFvZGSRYwUG8U/view?usp=sharing
Revenue forecast
Systemic issue
