"As anyone who lived through Election Night in 2016 knows, the political polls that year, especially in the presidential race, were off.Yes, they nailed Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton’s win in the national popular vote, but the presidential race is a state-by-state contest decided by the rules of the Electoral College. And in state-by-state polls, many of Donald Trump’s voters were undercounted and it gave the impression that Clinton had the race in the bag.Pollsters largely said they learned some important lessons from that election year. They made changes, particularly around how they would approach the education levels and economic classes of those they polled.But polling in the 2020 election turned out to be even worse than 2016, according to a report commissioned by the American Association for Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) and released this week."
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https://www.bostonglobe.com/2021/07/21/nation/report-found-2020-political-polling-was-worst-40-years-three-ways-this-changes-politics-going-forward/
Direct link to the report
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| A poll worker wearing an American flag themed protective mask sanitized a voting booth at a polling location in Louisville, Kentucky.LUKE SHARRETT/BLOOMBERG |
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