NOAA Climate.gov: "Climate change rule of thumb: cold "things" warming faster than warm things"

NOAA Climate.gov (@NOAAClimate) posted  Wed, Jan 10, 2024:

Climate change rule of thumb: cold "things" warming faster than warm things.
- Colder places are warming faster than warmer places.
- Colder seasons are warming faster than warmer seasons.
- Colder times of day are warming more than warmer times of day.
https://t.co/S28VYdqpLY 

Shared from -> https://twitter.com/NOAAClimate/status/1745190344751485141

Climate change rule of thumb: cold "things" warming faster than warm things

New Blog from NOAA Climate.gov on the #PolarVortex

NOAA Climate.gov (@NOAAClimate) posted  on Tue, Dec 05, 2023:

"We are excited to announce the new #PolarVortex Blog where we plan to explore various facets of the winds, #climate, and chemistry within this fascinating region of the atmosphere. 

Our first post is HOT off the press:
https://t.co/gZOmT9A3ss"

Shared from -> https://twitter.com/NOAAClimate/status/1732155988671664570

stratospheric polar vortex

Polar Vortex on Dec 4, 2023

El Nino could be super

"A fast-forming and strengthening El Niño climate pattern could peak this winter as one of the most intense ever observed, according to an experimental forecast released Tuesday. The new prediction system suggested it could reach top-tier “super” El Niño strength, a level that in the past has unleashed deadly fires, drought, heat waves, floods and mudslides around the world.

This time, El Niño is developing alongside an unprecedented surge in global temperatures that scientists say have increased the likelihood of brutal heat waves and deadly floods of the kind seen in recent weeks."

Continue reading the article (subscription may be required)

https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2023/09/26/super-el-nino-forecast-winter/

For more about El Nino visit the NOAA page ->    https://oceanservice.noaa.gov/facts/ninonina.html

El Niño causes the Pacific jet stream to move south and spread further east. During winter, this leads to wetter conditions than usual in the Southern U.S. and warmer and drier conditions in the North

NOAA: "Nation struck by all-time highest number of billion-dollar disasters"

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) shared:

"(1 of 5) JUST IN: The all-time highest number of billion dollar disasters on record occurred.

23 confirmed year-to-date B$D events.

More from our #August 2023 #StateofClimate.

Report: https://t.co/DMEkGeGbNf

@NOAANCEI #Climate https://t.co/gwTtx5Czcu

Shared from -> https://x.com/NOAA/status/1701249536578945385

NOAA: "Nation struck by all-time highest number of billion-dollar disasters"

Hurricane Franklin continues out in the Atlantic

Via the National Hurricane Center -> https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?start#contents   as of 5 AM, Sunday, August 27, 2023

Hurricane Franklin continues out in the Atlantic

Wind Speed Probabilities for Hurricane Franklin

Tropical Storm Franklin, 1 of 4 being tracked

The current status for Tropical Storm Franklin:

"...FRANKLIN NEAR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.. ...HEAVY RAINFALL AND POTENTIALLY LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING LIKELY OVER HISPANIOLA...
As of 5:00 AM EDT Wed Aug 23
the center of Franklin was located near 17.4, -71.3
with movement N at 10 mph.
The minimum central pressure was 1000 mb
with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph."

Per NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT3+shtml/230857.shtml

Details on the 4 disturbances currently active can be found online ->

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc

Tropical Storm Franklin, 1 of 4 being tracked

TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN - as of 8/23/23 - 8 AM Eastern

Hurricane preparations from the NWS Boston

NWS Boston (@NWSBoston) tweeted on Mon, Jul 10, 2023:

"Hurricanes never happen in New England, right? WRONG! 

Today (Monday) is the kickoff to Hurricane Preparedness Week! Now is the time to prepare. 

Check out this video to learn more!" 🌀https://t.co/zSmMdMZdkn

Shared from -> https://twitter.com/NWSBoston/status/1678403701818667008

video link -> https://youtu.be/V73YZbg9HrQ

"Franklin" is one of the Hurricane names for the 2023 Hurricane season

Today marks the first day of the Atlantic hurricane season, which will run until November 30. The long-term averages for the number of  named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes are 14, 7, and 3,  respectively.

The list of names for 2023 is as follows:

Name         Pronunciation       Name         Pronunciation

------------------------------------------------------------

Arlene        ar-LEEN            Lee          lee 

Bret          bret                   Margot       MAR-go

Cindy         SIN-dee            Nigel        NY-juhl     

Don           dahn                   Ophelia      o-FEEL-ya  

Emily         EH-mih-lee         Philippe     fee-LEEP 

Franklin      FRANK-lin          Rina         REE-nuh

Gert          gert                      Sean         shawn

Harold        HAIR-uld           Tammy        TAM-ee

Idalia        ee-DAL-ya          Vince        vinss

Jose          ho-Zay                 Whitney      WHIT-nee

Katia         KAH-tya

Shared from ->  https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php

"Franklin" is one of the Hurricane names for the 2023 Hurricane season

NOAA predicts a near-normal 2023 Atlantic hurricane season

"The Atlantic hurricane season will bring an average number of ocean storms and hurricanes this year, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (Noaa) said on Thursday.

Noaa forecasters estimate 12 to 17 named storms of which five to nine of those will develop into hurricanes and one to four will become major hurricanes during the 1 June to 30 November season.

The guidance came as experts considered the possible impacts this year of the El Niño weather system, which can dampen hurricane activity, and increasingly warm ocean temperatures, which can make storms more powerful.

“What it boils down to is: which is going to win or do they just cancel each other out and you end up with a near-normal season?” said Colorado State University hurricane researcher Phil Klotzbach. “I respect them both.”

Continue reading the article online (subscription maybe required) ->

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/may/25/hurricane-season-2023-average-number-storms-predicted-el-nino

The NOAA press release ->

"NOAA forecasters with the Climate Prediction Center, a division of the National Weather Service, predict near-normal hurricane activity in the Atlantic this year. NOAA’s outlook for the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season, which goes from June 1 to November 30, predicts a 40% chance of a near-normal season, a 30% chance of an above-normal season and a 30% chance of a below-normal season.

NOAA is forecasting a range of 12 to 17 total named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher). Of those, 5 to 9 could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including 1 to 4 major hurricanes (category 3, 4 or 5; with winds of 111 mph or higher). NOAA has a 70% confidence in these ranges."

https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/2023-atlantic-hurricane-season-outlook 

A summary infographic showing hurricane season probability and numbers of named storms predicted from NOAA's 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook.  (Image credit: NOAA)

Atlantic #HurricaneSeason Outlook 2022 - above average active season forecast

Atlantic #HurricaneSeason Outlook 2022: 70% likelihood of 14-21 named storms of which 6-10 could become hurricanes, including 3-6 major hurricanes: http://bit.ly/2022AtlanticHurricaneSeasonOutlook… #HurricaneOutlook

Atlantic #HurricaneSeason Outlook 2022

hurricane name listing for 2022

Read the full outlook ->  https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/noaa-predicts-above-normal-2022-atlantic-hurricane-season

Shared from Twitter: https://twitter.com/NOAAComms/status/1529120603273408513

Tropical Storm Henri heads for New England, stay tuned for changes in the forecast

"Keep an eye on this one. The National Hurricane Center says the expected track of Tropical Storm Henri has shifted, meaning it’s more likely it will hit the Northeastern states at the end of the week.

“The forecast track of Henri has shifted toward the northeast coast of the U.S. this weekend and early next week, increasing the risk of direct storm surge, wind, and rain impacts in portions of the northeastern U.S. and Atlantic Canada during that time,” the forecasters said Wednesday , noting that Henri was on the verge of reaching hurricane strength. “Interests in these areas should closely follow the progress of Henri and check for updates to the forecast.”

Continue reading the article online (subscription maybe required)

https://www.bostonglobe.com/2021/08/18/metro/is-tropical-storm-henri-heading-our-way/

Since the Globe article was posted, NWS has further updated a shift more off the coast of New England.  For additional updates from the National Weather Service visit    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/#Henri

Tropical Storm Henri heads for New England

National Weather Service readies for the 2021 hurricane season. Are we ready?

The weather is so nice and warm, after being confined indoor for winter (and due to COVID=19) it is about time we could enjoy it. Did you know that hurricane season officially starts soon? Alerts started on May 15. The season officially opens June 1.

Sign up for alerts from the National Weather Service (NWS)  https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

Additional info on service enhancements for this season as well as info on the social media accounts to track   https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/NHC_new_products_services_2021.pdf

Oops, we already missed "Hurricane preparedness week" (May 9-15)

https://www.weather.gov/wrn/hurricane-preparedness

"Today, May 15th, marks the first day of routine issuance of the
Atlantic basin Tropical Weather Outlook in 2021. This product
describes significant areas of disturbed weather and their potential for tropical cyclone formation during the next five days. The Tropical Weather Outlook is issued from May 15 through November 30 each year. The issuance times of this product are 2 AM, 8 AM, 2 AM, and 8 PM EDT. After the change to standard time in November, the issuance times are 1 AM, 7 AM, 1 PM, and 7 PM EST. 

A Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued to provide
updates, as necessary, in between the regularly scheduled issuances of the Tropical Weather Outlook. Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued under the same WMO and AWIPS headers as the regular Tropical Weather Outlooks. 

A graphical version of the Tropical Weather Outlook is available on the web at: https://www.hurricanes.gov."

There are no tropical cyclones in the Atlantic at this time.

Remains of Hurricane Laura affect New England weekend

The weekend could be wet and windy with the remains of Hurricane Laura eventually making it's way here.  We can use the rain!

Follow the progress of this storm via the National Hurricane Center   https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

NOAA Laura Storm track

NOAA Laura Storm track - Weds AM

NOAA info on Isaias

The NOAA map shows the path of Isaias as of Monday morning (8/3/20 5:30 AM). It is likely to be a tropical depression bringing some wind and much needed rain to us on Tuesday/Wednesday. Oddly, if it maintains this track, Western MA will get more of the rain than we will.

Get additional updates from NOAA here
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/092753.shtml?cone

Hurricane preparedness info
https://www.weather.gov/wrn/hurricane-preparedness

Stay tuned to your normal weather station for updates.

NOAA info on Isaias

if it maintains this track, Western MA will get more of the rain than we will

Hurricane season 2020 and COVID-19

Hurricane season 2020 and COVID-19 by Colleen Tressler, Consumer Education Specialist, FTC June 1 is the official start of hurricane season, and now is a great time to make a plan to deal with weather emergencies. Especially because this year, we have the added concern of the COVID-19 pandemic, including what you need know if you have to go to a shelter. (Hint: it involves packing hand sanitizer and masks.) Read more https://www.consumer.ftc.gov/blog/2020/06/hurricane-season-2020-and-covid-19   This is a free service provided by the Federal Trade Commission.

---

Today (June 1) marks the first day of the Atlantic hurricane season, which will run until November 30. Long-term averages for the number of named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes are 12, 6, and 3, respectively. The list of names for 2020 is as follows: Name Pronunciation Name Pronunciation ------------------------------------------------------------- Arthur AR-thur Laura LOOR-ruh Bertha BUR-thuh Marco MAR-koe Cristobal krees-TOH-bahl Nana NA-na Dolly DAH-lee Omar OH-mar Edouard ed-DWARD Paulette pawl-LET Fay fay Rene re-NAY Gonzalo gohn-SAH-loh Sally SAL-ee Hanna HAN-uh Teddy TEHD-ee Isaias ees-ah-EE-ahs Vicky VIH-kee Josephine JOH-seh-feen Wilfred WILL-fred Kyle KY-ull Two tropical storms, Arthur and Bertha, already formed this year in May. The next named storm that develops this season will be Cristobal. This product, the Tropical Weather Outlook, briefly describes  significant areas of disturbed weather and their potential for tropical cyclone formation during the next five days. The issuance times of this product are 2 AM, 8 AM, 2 AM, and 8 PM EDT. After the change to standard time in November, the issuance times are 1 AM, 7 AM, 1 PM, and 7 PM EST. Shared from the Tropical Weather Outlook https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&202006010550

"NOAA predicts near-normal 2019 Atlantic hurricane season"

"NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center is predicting that a near-normal Atlantic hurricane season is most likely this year. This outlook forecasts a 40% chance of a near-normal season, a 30% chance of an above-normal season and a 30% chance of a below-normal season. The hurricane season officially extends from June 1 to November 30. 

For 2019, NOAA predicts a likely range of 9 to 15 named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher), of which 4 to 8 could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including 2 to 4 major hurricanes (category 3, 4 or 5; with winds of 111 mph or higher). NOAA provides these ranges with a 70% confidence. An average hurricane season produces 12 named storms, of which 6 become hurricanes, including 3 major hurricanes."

Continue reading about the NOAA outlook for the 2019 Atlantic Hurricane season:
https://www.noaa.gov/media-release/noaa-predicts-near-normal-2019-atlantic-hurricane-season




For the geeks who use RSS feeds (like I do) you can find the RSS selection of NOAA data here  https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutrss.shtml


What are the names for the storms for the 1029 season?

A graphic showing 2019 Atlantic tropical cyclone names selected by
the World Meteorological Organization. (NOAA)

In the News: hurricane season comes to an end; Marriott reveals massive data breach; Resilience IPA to help CA fire relief

From the Milford Daily News, articles of interest for Franklin:

"The 2018 hurricane season began like a lazy river, a handful of circles spinning in an atmosphere still sleepy from spring. 

Only Subtropical Storm Alberto made contact with the U.S., splashing into Laguna Beach, Fla., at the end of May before the calendar even noted the official June 1 start date of storm season. Through August, it was called the “season of slop,” seemingly confirming forecasts for below average cyclonic activity. 

But then September came, the Atlantic basin caught fire, and two coasts would face the terrifying power of wind and water. 

By the last day of the 2018 hurricane season on Friday, the cyclone scoreboard included 15 named storms, including eight hurricanes and two major hurricanes of Category 3 or higher. A normal season typically has 12 named storms, including six hurricanes and two major hurricanes."

Continue reading the article online (subscription may be required)
https://www.milforddailynews.com/zz/news/20181130/2018-hurricane-season-ends-how-accurate-were-forecasters

Visit NOAA directly to read their summary
https://www.noaa.gov/media-release/destructive-2018-atlantic-hurricane-season-draws-to-end

Hurricane season 2018 ends

"Hackers stole information on as many as 500 million guests of the Marriott hotel empire over four years, obtaining credit card and passport numbers and other personal data, the company said Friday as it acknowledged one of the largest security breaches in history. 

The full scope of the failure was not immediately clear. Marriott was trying to determine if the records included duplicates, such as a single person staying multiple times. 

The affected hotel brands were operated by Starwood before it was acquired by Marriott in 2016. They include W Hotels, St. Regis, Sheraton, Westin, Element, Aloft, The Luxury Collection, Le Méridien and Four Points. Starwood-branded timeshare properties were also affected. None of the Marriott-branded chains were threatened. 

The crisis quickly emerged as one of the biggest data breaches on record."

Continue reading the article online (subscription may be required)
https://www.milforddailynews.com/zz/news/20181130/marriott-security-breach-exposed-data-of-up-to-500m-guests/1

"Sierra Nevada founder Ken Grossman sent letters to brewers across the country to invite them to participate in a collaborative brew day on Tuesday to brew the beer. They worked with malt and hop suppliers to provide ingredient donations so participating brewers could donate 100 percent of the sales of the beer to relief efforts. 

“We know that the rebuilding process will take time, but we’re in this for the long haul,” Grossman wrote in the announcement. “Our hope is to get Resilience IPA in taprooms all over the country to create a solid start for our community’s future.” 

In Massachusetts, at least 11 breweries have signed up to brew the Resilience IPA. 

For Wormtown Brewery in Worcester, it was an easy decision, brewmaster Ben Roesch said."

Continue reading the article online (subscription may be required)
https://www.milforddailynews.com/news/20181130/local-breweries-brew-beer-for-california-wildfire-relief

For more about Resilience IPA visit Sierra Nevada's page
https://sierranevada.com/resilience-butte-county-proud-ipa

For more about Resilience IPA visit Sierra Nevada's page

In the News: Gilberti leads the Walk to End Breast Cancer; trend shows more major hurricanes coming over time

From the Milford Daily News, articles of interest for Franklin:

"Surviving cancer is always worth celebrating, and helping to turn potential tragedy into a party is something the American Cancer Society’s Anne Gilberti has taken to be part of her job. 

In 2014, Gilberti took part in Avon 39 The Walk to End Breast Cancer. She wanted to continue the effort, but did not have someone to sponsor. 

“I didn’t really have a personal connection to breast cancer - I didn’t really know anyone with breast cancer,” she said. “Fast forward to the next year when the team I was part of was doing fundraising. That very night, I was waiting on my own biopsy and I was diagnosed with breast cancer.” 

Less than a year later, she didn’t realize she would be funding her own cause, as she was diagnosed with breast cancer in 2015. At the time of her diagnosis, she was a mother to three children, and knew she needed to be there for them."

Continue reading the article online (subscription may be required)
https://www.milforddailynews.com/news/20180929/franklin-resident-takes-own-strides-for-cancer

Donate to the cause by following the link
http://main.acsevents.org/site/TR/MakingStridesAgainstBreastCancer/MSABCCY18NER?pg=entry&fr_id=89577

Making Strides of Boston

"The Atlantic’s warmer waters triggered the unusual number of major hurricanes last year, according to a new study that predicts the region could see a couple of extra whopper storms each year by the end of the century. 

Six major hurricanes — with winds of at least 111 mph — spun around the Atlantic last year, including Harvey, Irma and Maria that hit parts of the United States and the Caribbean. Since 2000, the Atlantic has averaged three major hurricanes a year. Before that the average was closer to two. 

It may go up to five to eight major hurricanes a year around the year 2100, according to a study in this week’s journal Science. 

“We will see more active hurricane seasons like 2017 in the future,” said lead author Hiro Murakami, climate scientist and hurricane expert at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration."

Continue reading the article online (subscription may be required)
https://www.milforddailynews.com/zz/news/20180929/why-we-can-expect-more-whopper-hurricanes-in-coming-years

Visit the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) for more info and to subscribe to weather alerts. https://www.noaa.gov/

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)

In the News: drought continues, craft brewing in Hopkinton

From the Milford Daily News, articles of interest for Franklin:

"Occasional showers with above normal temperatures in the past week did not help drought conditions in Massachusetts, according to the weekly report by the U.S. Drought Monitor released Thursday. 

The report shows 37.83 percent of the state is still in extreme drought, the second highest category of drought. That figure is unchanged from last week. More than 87 percent of the state is in at least severe drought, a slight rise from last week's figure of 83.7 percent. 

There may be some relief in the next several days. Rain is forecast Thursday night through Saturday morning. More than two inches of rain could fall in some areas, especially with the risk of thunderstorms Friday night."

Continue reading the article online (subscription may be required)
http://www.milforddailynews.com/news/20161020/extreme-drought-persists-in-mass

http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/mapsanddata/maparchive.aspx

A small craft brewery, hoping to open at Water Fresh Farm, is seeking permission to serve its products to customers on the premises. 

Start Line Brewery is set to open mid-November, said Edwin Twinney, owner and operating manager. 

"We are just doing final testing and hope to be brewing soon," he said. 

In the meantime, the company, CraftLife Brewing Co., will go before selectmen Tuesday night to seek the farmer-brewing pouring permit. Twinney said he already has a license to sell products for off-premise consumption.

Continue reading the article online (subscription may be required)
http://www.milforddailynews.com/news/20161020/hopkinton-start-line-brewing-seeks-pouring-license

Hurricane Joaquin will likely bring more rain

With the latest tracking from NOAA's Hurricane Central, Joaquin will likely ver off the coast and leave us more rain early next week.

as of 5:00 AM Friday, October 2

You can subscribe to receive your own alerts, maps and charts from NOAA
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/