Showing posts with label forecast. Show all posts
Showing posts with label forecast. Show all posts

Saturday, September 5, 2026

Joint Budget Subcmte in healthy discussion seems to coalesce on 3 goals (audio)

FM #1810 = This is the Franklin Matters radio show, number 1810 in the series. 


Joint Budget Subcmte in healthy discussion seems to coalesce on 3 goals (audio)
This session shares the Joint Budget Subcmte Meeting held on Thursday, August 13, 2026



The recording runs about 2 hours & 15 minutes, so let’s listen in.

Audio link - 
https://franklin-ma-matters.captivate.fm/episode/fm-1810-joint-budget-subcmte-mtg-08-13-26/


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Franklin TV video is available for replay

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_PITPcwF6Lg 


The agenda for this session

https://www.franklinma.gov/AgendaCenter/ViewFile/Agenda/_08132026-2445   


My notes captured during the session

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1UzwDKCfD_wh4wmgQdqZDH101egZACz-j/view?usp=drive_link 


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We are now producing this in collaboration with Franklin.TV and Franklin Public Radio (wfpr.fm) or 102.9 on the Franklin area radio dial. 


This podcast is my public service effort for Franklin but we can't do it alone. We can always use your help.


How can you help?

  • If you can use the information that you find here, please tell your friends and neighbors

  • If you don't like something here, please let me know

  • And if you have interest in reporting on meetings or events, please reach out. We’ll share and show you what and how we do what we do


Through this feedback loop we can continue to make improvements. I thank you for listening.


For additional information, please visit Franklinmatters.org/  or www.franklin.news 


If you have questions or comments you can reach me directly at shersteve @ gmail dot com


The music for the intro and exit was provided by Michael Clark and the group "East of Shirley". The piece is titled "Ernesto, manana"  c. Michael Clark & Tintype Tunes, 2008 and used with their permission.


I hope you enjoy!

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You can also subscribe and listen to Franklin Matters audio on iTunes or your favorite podcast app; search in "podcasts" for "Franklin Matters"


Thursday, February 26, 2026

Town Council Quarterbacking with Councilor Ted Cormier-Leger (audio)

FM #1670 = This is the Franklin Matters radio show, number 1670 in the series. 


This session of the radio show shares our “Town Council Quarterbacking” with Town Councilor Ted Cormier-Leger. We had our conversation in person at the Franklin TV & Radio Studios on Friday, February 13, 2026. Our conversation condensed the Town Council meeting of Wednesday, February 11, 2026.


We focus on two questions:

  • ok, what just happened? 

  • What does it mean for Franklin residents and taxpayers?

We cover the following key topics

  • After tabling the prior meeting minutes for a future meeting to add some questions that were asked but not reflected in the minutes, they approved a technical change for the Shaw's alcohol license

  • Council comments followed Citizen Comments in this new order of agenda items

  • The 5 year budget model and forecast 

  • The Capital budget 

  • Then as the clock turned past 10 PM during their deliberations on the amendments, the Council voted to allow extension of the meeting past their 4 hour curfew. The meeting did close approx. 20 minutes later.


The conversation runs about 70 minutes. Let’s listen in

Audio link -  
https://franklin-ma-matters.captivate.fm/episode/fm-1670-town-council-quarterbacking-02-13-26/


--------------

Franklin TV video is available for replay

https://www.youtube.com/live/PGKBpPjZZTM?&t=210 


The agenda and docs released for this session

https://ma-franklin.civicplus.com/AgendaCenter/ViewFile/Agenda/_02112026-2130  


My notes captured in one PDF file - https://drive.google.com/file/d/1OUdG4Uju_rM2ro2mJCBeEIXOfSx9T8M0/view?usp=drive_link 


--------------


We are now producing this in collaboration with Franklin.TV and Franklin Public Radio (wfpr.fm) or 102.9 on the Franklin area radio dial.  


This podcast is my public service effort for Franklin but we can't do it alone. We can always use your help.


How can you help?

  • If you can use the information that you find here, please tell your friends and neighbors

  • If you don't like something here, please let me know

  • And if you have interest in reporting on meetings or events, please reach out. We’ll share and show you what and how we do what we do


Through this feedback loop we can continue to make improvements. I thank you for listening.


For additional information, please visit Franklinmatters.org/ or www.franklin.news/


If you have questions or comments you can reach me directly at shersteve @ gmail dot com


The music for the intro and exit was provided by Michael Clark and the group "East of Shirley". The piece is titled "Ernesto, manana"  c. Michael Clark & Tintype Tunes, 2008 and used with their permission.


I hope you enjoy!

------------------


You can also subscribe and listen to Franklin Matters audio on iTunes or your favorite podcast app; search in "podcasts" for "Franklin Matters"


Sunday, February 8, 2026

Town Administrator Memorandum: FY27 Budget Model Revision & Revised Five-Year Fiscal Forecast

 February 6, 2026

To: Town Council

From: Jamie Hellen, Town Administrator

RE: FY27 Budget Model Revision & Revised Five-Year Fiscal Forecast

Attached is the latest draft FY27 budget model, which presents a balanced budget model. All budget documents will be uploaded to the one stop shop town budget website.

Staff have provided a revised FY27 budget model and forecasts from the August 2025 version:

  • Town Administrator Memorandum;
  • Revised FY27 Control Sheet and Budget;
  • Five-Year Fiscal forecast to reflect the proposed baseline FY27 budget.

Executive Analysis

I present a balanced budget model for FY27. This model provides updated revenue assumptions, the requested budget model by the Superintendent, and all department requests, including the restoration of some lost municipal services. Highlights are detailed below.

FY27 Budget Model Revision
FY27 Budget Model Revision

The elected officials, town boards/committees and community stakeholders need to begin to strategize a sustainable solution to the structural budget deficit for FY28 and beyond, while analyzing the pros and cons of the decisions that will have to be made in FY27. This model will continue to shift slightly throughout the budget process, but is a very strong foundation going into the FY27 budget season. The model presented tonight will largely mirror my budget submittal as my formal budget proposal under Town Charter requirements in 6-3-1, 6-4-1, and 6-5-1. See dates below.

I have provided a model to give everyone time to strategize a game plan for the future without any department cuts or conversations about property tax increases in FY27. Given the context of two failed overrides within the past 18 months, the proposal tonight does not show the need for a general override or any other tax increase that affects the operating budget.

While the use of one-time funds is far from ideal, I can realistically expect that the town can use $1-2 +/- million a year in free cash in a short term (1-2 years) manner, while a sustainable strategy is decided by the Town Council, School Committee and the community. However, this approach will have an impact on the town and school capital program for FY26 and gets us further behind for future investments to town and school fleet, capital, facilities, fields, and infrastructure.

The model does not impede on Tier 1 capital requests, which were recommended for approval by the Finance Committee. Tier 1 requests are focused on items that were broken and needed to be fixed/replaced, as well as investments in safety gear and technology for police and fire. My recommendation is to hold off on any additional capital funding considerations that have not been recommended by the Finance Committee until after the operating budget is finalized. Any remaining free cash can pay health group deficits or provide additional capital allocations.

Health Care Transition

I have assumed a 14% increase for all school and town employee health care employees based on current enrollment. Group Insurance Commission (GIC) rates and plan design are set in mid-March. Open enrollment is in April. Staff will have definite health care numbers by approximately Memorial Day. The actual data could be under the assumption, or we could be over. We could have surpluses, or deficits, from our existing self-insured health group as we exit that system. Once health care numbers are in, staff can modify a final budget (the weeks of May 25 and June 1st) with a final FY27 budget vote expected on June 10th.

While the budget assumes $8,814,000 million transfer in benefits ($7,980,000 employee health care and $834,000 in Medicare) costs from the schools to the town benefits budget, it is my intention to transfer the figure based on actual subscriber data (as well as assumptions of any future changes in that figure through October 1st, 2026 when school hiring has been largely completed). This number is almost certainly going to shift and we will work with the schools on these assumptions.

Franklin Public Schools - Account 300

This budget model assumes the Superintendent's recommended budget, as presented to the School Committee over the past few weeks. I have provided an Account 300 chart at the bottom of this memo to show the history of requests versus allocations over the past decade.

I give significant credit to Chair Paul Griffith, Vice-Chair Callaghan, Superintendent Giguere, and the former and current School Committees for doing the very challenging work toward stabilizing the School budget over the past two years. Through disciplined collective bargaining strategy, thorough review of operations, many very difficult decisions and public discussions, a long overdue redistricting and a District Improvement Plan (DIP), I feel the Schools are in the most stabilized financial position in my tenure in Franklin. While strategic investments are desired and a game plan is needed for both capital and operating, the District is on a solid foundation for FY27.

Furthermore, the School Committee unanimously voted this past week to transfer school benefits to the municipal budget account 910. I greatly appreciate the collaboration!

Student achievement is excellent and very competitive in Eastern Massachusetts. For High Schools over 1,400 students, Franklin ranks among the best Top 20 high schools in Eastern Massachusetts and is mentioned in the same class as some of the most desired large districts. Franklin is providing an excellent education to students across all grade levels, including multiple Blue Ribbon winning elementary schools, while providing consistently championship level athletics and an overall great experience for kids to thrive and excel.

Continue reading the memorandum - https://ma-franklin.civicplus.com/DocumentCenter/View/8319/11a-1---MEMO---FY27-Budget-Update---List-of-Changes

Franklin, MA: Agenda for Town Council meeting Wednesday, Feb 11 at 6 PM

Franklin Town Council
Agenda & Meeting Packet
February 11, 2026 = 6:00 PM

1. ANNOUNCEMENTS FROM THE CHAIR
a. This meeting is being recorded by Franklin TV and shown on Comcast channel 9 and Verizon Channel 29. This meeting may be recorded by others.
b. Chair to identify members participating remotely.
c. Upcoming Town Sponsored Community Events.

2. CITIZEN COMMENTS
a. Citizens are welcome to express their views for up to three minutes on a matter that is not on the agenda. In compliance with G.L. Chapter 30A, Section 20 et seq, the Open Meeting Law, the Council cannot engage in a dialogue or comment on a matter raised during Citizen Comments. The Council may ask the Town Administrator to review the matter. Nothing herein shall prevent the Town Administrator from correcting a misstatement of fact.

3. COUNCILOR COMMENTS

4. SUBCOMMITTEE & AD HOC COMMITTEE REPORTS

5. TOWN ADMINISTRATOR’S REPORT

6. PROCLAMATIONS / RECOGNITIONS - None Scheduled

7. APPROVAL OF MINUTES
a. January 21, 2026

8. APPOINTMENTS - None Scheduled
9. PUBLIC HEARINGS - 6:00 PM - None Scheduled

10. LICENSE TRANSACTIONS
a. Modification of a Section 15 Retail Package Store Wine & Malt Beverages License: Change of Officers / Directors - Shaw’s Supermarkets, Inc. d/b/a Shaw’s, Located at 255 East Central St., Franklin, MA

11. PRESENTATIONS / DISCUSSION
a. Revised FY27 Budget Model & Five-Year Fiscal Forecast
b. FY26 Capital Plan
Franklin, MA: Agenda for Town Council
Franklin, MA: Agenda for Town Council

12. LEGISLATION FOR ACTION
a. Resolution 26-03: Free Cash to Stabilization Account Transfers
(Motion to Approve Resolution 26-03 - Majority Vote)  https://www.franklinma.gov/DocumentCenter/View/8327/12a

b. Resolution 26-04: FY26 Capital Plan
(Motion to Approve Resolution 26-04 - Majority Vote)  https://www.franklinma.gov/DocumentCenter/View/8328/12b

c. Resolution 26-05: FY26 Capital Enterprise Funds
(Motion to Approve Resolution 26-05 - Majority Vote)  https://www.franklinma.gov/DocumentCenter/View/8329/12c

d. Resolution 26-09: Gift Acceptance - Veterans Services Dept. ($450)
(Motion to Approve Resolution 26-09 - Majority Vote)  https://www.franklinma.gov/DocumentCenter/View/8330/12d

13. FUTURE AGENDA ITEMS

14. EXECUTIVE SESSION - None Scheduled

15. ADJOURN

Note: Two-Thirds Vote: requires 6 votes
Majority Vote: requires majority of members present and voting



Sunday, November 30, 2025

Agenda for Town Council meeting Dec 3: includes Tax rate hearing and FY 2027 Five Year Fiscal Forecast

Franklin Town Council
Agenda & Meeting Packet
December 3, 2025 = 6:00 PM

1. ANNOUNCEMENTS FROM THE CHAIR
a. This meeting is being recorded by Franklin TV and shown on Comcast channel 9 and Verizon Channel 29. This meeting may be recorded by others
b. Chair to identify members participating remotely
c. Upcoming Town Sponsored Community Events

2. CITIZEN COMMENTS
a. Citizens are welcome to express their views for up to three minutes on a matter that is not on the agenda. In compliance with G.L. Chapter 30A, Section 20 et seq, the Open Meeting Law, the Council cannot engage in a dialogue or comment on a matter raised during Citizen Comments. The Council may ask the Town Administrator to review the matter. Nothing herein shall prevent the Town Administrator from correcting a misstatement of fact.
3. APPROVAL OF MINUTES - None Scheduled

4. PROCLAMATIONS / RECOGNITIONS
a. Amy Galose, Creative Corner

5. APPOINTMENTS
a. Franklin’s 250th Anniversary Celebration Committee
i. New Member Maureen Brennan
ii. Ratification of Officers
1. Chair: Jayson Joyce
2. Vice Chair: Robert Browne
3. Clerk: Alan Earls
4. Treasurer: Charleen Belcher
6. PUBLIC HEARINGS - 7:00 PM
a. FY26 Tax Classification Hearing
i. Legislation for Action Item 9a
ii. Legislation for Action Item 9b
iii. Legislation for Action Item 9c
iv. Legislation for Action Item 9d
v. Legislation for Action Item 9e
7. LICENSE TRANSACTIONS - None Scheduled
8. PRESENTATIONS / DISCUSSION
a. Five-Year Fiscal Forecast
i. FY26 Town Administrator memo - August 2025
ii. FY27-FY31 Fiscal Revenue forecast - August 2025
iii. FY27-FY31 Fiscal Department forecast - August 2025
iv. Budget presentation - August 2025 
v. Other Budget Resources:
1. Town Budget Website Portal
2. School Committee & School Department Website Portal
3. FY26 Compensation & Classification Plan
a. 2022-2023 Compensation & Classification Baseline study
4. Department Heads Letter - December 17, 2024
b. Deputy Town Administrator & Town Administration staffing
9. LEGISLATION FOR ACTION
a. Resolution 25-76: Tax Classification Residential Factor
(Motion to Approve Resolution 25-76 - Majority Vote)
b. Resolution 25-77: Tax Classification Open Space Exemption
(Motion to Approve Resolution 25-77 - Majority Vote)
c. Resolution 25-78: Tax Classification Small Business Exemption
(Motion to Approve Resolution 25-78 - Majority Vote)
d. Resolution 25-79: Tax Classification Residential Property Exemption
(Motion to Approve Resolution 25-79 - Majority Vote)
e. Resolution 25-80: Tax Classification Senior Means Tested Exemption
(Motion to Approve Resolution 25-80 - Majority Vote)
f. Resolution 25-81: Cable Funds in Support of PEG Service and Programming per MGL Ch. 44 §53F3/4 (Motion to Approve Resolution 25-81 - Majority Vote)
10. TOWN ADMINISTRATOR’S REPORT
Agenda for Town Council meeting Dec 3: includes Tax rate hearing and FY 2027 Five Year Fiscal Forecast
Agenda for Town Council meeting Dec 3:
includes Tax rate hearing and
FY 2027 Five Year Fiscal Forecast

11. SUBCOMMITTEE & AD HOC COMMITTEE REPORTS

12. FUTURE AGENDA ITEMS

13. COUNCIL COMMENTS

14. EXECUTIVE SESSION - None Scheduled

15. ADJOURN


Note: Two-Thirds Vote: requires 6 votes
Majority Vote: requires majority of members present and voting

Agenda doc also contains remote participation info ->  https://drive.google.com/file/d/1QfgJW2si5mxS-2zYN9l22AB9t7b8Ec6p/view?usp=drive_link



Friday, October 24, 2025

Finance Committee has gets a fiscal discussion but runs out of time to get into the Technology deep dive (video)

The Finance Committee (FinCom) met on Wednesday beginning at 5:30 PM. 8 of the 9 members of the Finance Committee were present, 3 new members were sworn in officially.

Franklin TV broadcast is available for replay -> https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QMhCNMRndj0



Quick recap:
  • The agenda could not be completed in the time allotted before the Town Council meeting at 7:00 PM. The planned 'deep dive' on Technology was the major item as it will be rescheduled to their Nov 5 meeting.
  • During Citizen Comments, M Minnechelli spoke on the economics of development proposals, i.e. 444 E Central, and the need for some body, perhaps FinCom to weigh in to help clarify the numbers that are being mentioned which are conflicting and perhaps erroneous. 
    • Town Administrator advised not weighing in on the specifics of 444 East Central as the public hearing is underway. However an understanding of the overall economics of development would be a good topic for a future meeting
  • Much of the discussion revolved around the fiscal issues currently being faced not just by Franklin but by most communities in the State. The "perfect storm" report by the MMA was referenced. The work underway at the State level to take a new look at local contributions for Chap 70 could affect our "hold harmless" situation. The Federal cuts will affect Mass revenues, and some of that will also affect our State funding.


The Town Administrator memo of Aug 7 was refreshed as many appear to have not read it, or understood the implications -> https://drive.google.com/file/d/1UnddsW97syeHkkVjNOgRlOkKgHgOGiS0/view?usp=drive_link

The agenda doc is rich with links to important financial materials.


Friday, January 10, 2025

World Economic Forum shared "The Future of Jobs Report" - what jobs are growing in demand through 2030?

what jobs are growing in demand through 2030?
what jobs are growing in demand through 2030?
World Economic Forum (@wef) posted Wed, Jan 08, 2025:
"The Future of Jobs Report 2025 is now live. 
Drawing on insights from over 1,000 of the world's largest employers, the report dives into the key areas of disruption and opportunity within the #labour market. 
https://t.co/BNd2QLT7bJ"


For more about the World Economic Forum and what they do ->    https://www.weforum.org/

Thursday, October 17, 2024

Voices of Franklin: Sue Dewsnap's comments on "Franklin’s Financial Stability and Future Planning"

As a taxpayer, I have significant concerns for Franklin’s financial stability and the lack of conversations and planning at the Town Council level on the topic.  After the failed override in June 2024, there was no municipal contingency spending plan available until 2 weeks after the vote.  It is now 15 weeks into FY 2025, and we do not have a published five-year projection.  The last quantified five-year projection was published on May 7, 2019 (link below). Without this information, how have you been making financial decisions?  

I attended the September 11 Joint Budget Subcommittee Meeting.  After the discussion, I left with an estimate of $4.0 - $5.0 million budget shortfall for FY 2026.  Let’s see how close I am when the Joint Budget Subcommittee reconvenes on October 23, which will be almost 4 months into FY 2025.  If my estimate is correct, a $4.0 - $5.0 million budget shortfall will result in town reductions of 40 – 50 employees.  Where are we going to reduce 40-50 employees?  Are you prepared for those difficult decisions?  How are you going to do collective bargaining with our employees?

I’m most concerned about the lack of interest, urgency and commitment from this Council to solving our Town’s financial challenges.  At the September 11 Joint Budget Subcommittee, we were told that the process to develop a projection and identify cuts to services “will take some time”.  I respectfully challenge this, as our finances are not that difficult to predict.  Next step would be to decide which departments absorb the cuts and the resulting service impacts to the community.  I see no reason why this information cannot be available for Council review by Thanksgiving.

It’s time to start elevating this topic and requiring accurate financial information from our Town Administration on a regular basis.  A $4.0 - $5.0 million shortfall will have significant implications to our town services and further erode our school programs.  Franklin will look less attractive to new families and our property values will decline.  That is not the Franklin that I want to see.  I ask you to put Franklin’s future financial stability at the top of your priority list.

Respectfully,
Susan Dewsnap


If you have something to say, you can find the guidelines here
https://www.franklinmatters.org/2011/03/introducing-voices-of-franklin.html

Voices of Franklin: Sue Dewsnap's comments on "Franklin’s Financial Stability and Future Planning"
Voices of Franklin: Sue Dewsnap's comments on "Franklin’s Financial Stability and Future Planning"

Tuesday, June 4, 2024

"NOAA predicts above-normal 2024 Atlantic hurricane season"

"NOAA National Weather Service forecasters at the Climate Prediction Center predict above-normal hurricane activity in the Atlantic basin this year. NOAA’s outlook for the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season, which spans from June 1 to November 30, predicts an 85% chance of an above-normal season, a 10% chance of a near-normal season and a 5% chance of a below-normal season.

NOAA is forecasting a range of 17 to 25 total named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher). Of those, 8 to 13 are forecast to become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including 4 to 7 major hurricanes (category 3, 4 or 5; with winds of 111 mph or higher). Forecasters have a 70% confidence in these ranges.

The upcoming Atlantic hurricane season is expected to have above-normal activity due to a confluence of factors, including near-record warm ocean temperatures in the Atlantic Ocean, development of La Nina conditions in the Pacific, reduced Atlantic trade winds and less wind shear, all of which tend to favor tropical storm formation."
Continue reading the hurricane forecast for 2024



Sunday, September 10, 2023

Finance Committee Agenda for the September 13, 2023 Meeting at 7 PM

Finance Committee Meeting
Agenda & Meeting Packet
Wednesday, September 13, 2023 at 7:00 PM


Agenda

1. Call to Order
2. Public Comment
3. Introduction of new members
4. The Bill Dowd “Deep Dive” Series
a. Five Year Fiscal Forecast Budget Model  
https://www.franklinma.gov/sites/g/files/vyhlif10036/f/uploads/4a._5_year_fiscal_forecast.pdf
b. MassBenchMarks September 2023 Economic Outlook  
https://www.franklinma.gov/sites/g/files/vyhlif10036/f/uploads/4b._massbenchmarks_-_notes_from_the_board_september_2023.pdf
5. Appoint four (4) Joint Budget Subcommittee members
6. Future Agenda Items & schedule for the year
7. Recurring Business:
a. Approval of Minutes
i. May 8, 2023  
https://www.franklinma.gov/sites/g/files/vyhlif10036/f/uploads/7a_i._-_fincom_05.08.23.pdf
ii. May 10, 2023  
https://www.franklinma.gov/sites/g/files/vyhlif10036/f/uploads/7a_ii._-_fincom_05.10.23.pdf
iii. May 11, 2023  
https://www.franklinma.gov/sites/g/files/vyhlif10036/f/uploads/7a_iii._-_fincom_05.11.23.pdf
b. Stabilization Account Balance  
https://www.franklinma.gov/sites/g/files/vyhlif10036/f/uploads/7b._stabilization_fund_balances_6-30-2023.pdf
8. Adjourn

Agenda doc includes remote participation info ->

Finance Committee Agenda for the September 13, 2023 Meeting at 7 PM
Finance Committee Agenda for the September 13, 2023 Meeting at 7 PM