|Hurricane Franklin continues out in the Atlantic|
|Wind Speed Probabilities for Hurricane Franklin|
|Hurricane Franklin continues out in the Atlantic|
|Wind Speed Probabilities for Hurricane Franklin|
Tropical Storm Franklin Discussion Number 19 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082023 500 AM AST Fri Aug 25 2023 Franklin has generally changed little during the past several hours.
The storm remains strongly sheared with the low-level center partially exposed near the western edge of the main area of deep convection. Cloud tops are quite cold on the system's east side, but the storm continues to lack convective symmetry. The initial intensity remains 50 kt based on the earlier Air Force reconnaissance data, which is a little above the current satellite intensity estimates. The storm is moving slowly to the east-northeast at about 5 kt in weak steering currents near the base of a broad mid- to upper-level trough. A north to north-northwest motion is expected to commence tonight or early Saturday as ridging builds to the east of Franklin over the central Atlantic. This motion should bring the core of the system to the west of Bermuda on Monday and Tuesday. The storm is likely to turn northeastward and accelerate by the middle of next week when it should move in the faster flow between the ridge and a mid- to upper-level trough over eastern Canada and the northeast U.S. In general, the models have shifted westward this cycle, and the NHC track forecast has been nudged in that direction. Continued moderate to strong westerly vertical wind shear should limit strengthening during the next 12 to 24 hours. However, more significant strengthening seems likely in a day or two when the shear decreases while Franklin remains over warm water and in a relatively moist environment. Franklin is expected to become a hurricane over the weekend and should reach a peak intensity near major hurricane strength early next week. The strengthening trend should end around day 4, at which time the storm is forecast to begin moving over cooler waters and into an environment of stronger shear. The intensity models are in fairly good agreement, and this forecast is quite similar to the previous one.
|Tropical Storm Franklin moving slowly|
"...FRANKLIN NEAR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.. ...HEAVY RAINFALL AND POTENTIALLY LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING LIKELY OVER HISPANIOLA...
As of 5:00 AM EDT Wed Aug 23
the center of Franklin was located near 17.4, -71.3
with movement N at 10 mph.
The minimum central pressure was 1000 mb
with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph."
|Tropical Storm Franklin, 1 of 4 being tracked|
|TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN - as of 8/23/23 - 8 AM Eastern|
"Hurricanes never happen in New England, right? WRONG!
Today (Monday) is the kickoff to Hurricane Preparedness Week! Now is the time to prepare.
Check out this video to learn more!" 🌀https://t.co/zSmMdMZdkn
|"Franklin" is one of the Hurricane names for the 2023 Hurricane season|
"When it comes to preparing for hurricanes, financial readiness is as important as a flashlight with fully charged batteries. Leaving your home can be stressful, but knowing that your personal and financial documents are up to date, in one place, and portable can make a big difference at a tense time. Read on to learn how to identify and organize important papers before a disaster strikes.
Here are some steps to help you get started."
|Preparing for hurricane season 2023: How to organize your finances|
"The Atlantic hurricane season will bring an average number of ocean storms and hurricanes this year, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (Noaa) said on Thursday.Noaa forecasters estimate 12 to 17 named storms of which five to nine of those will develop into hurricanes and one to four will become major hurricanes during the 1 June to 30 November season.The guidance came as experts considered the possible impacts this year of the El Niño weather system, which can dampen hurricane activity, and increasingly warm ocean temperatures, which can make storms more powerful.“What it boils down to is: which is going to win or do they just cancel each other out and you end up with a near-normal season?” said Colorado State University hurricane researcher Phil Klotzbach. “I respect them both.”
"NOAA forecasters with the Climate Prediction Center, a division of the National Weather Service, predict near-normal hurricane activity in the Atlantic this year. NOAA’s outlook for the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season, which goes from June 1 to November 30, predicts a 40% chance of a near-normal season, a 30% chance of an above-normal season and a 30% chance of a below-normal season.NOAA is forecasting a range of 12 to 17 total named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher). Of those, 5 to 9 could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including 1 to 4 major hurricanes (category 3, 4 or 5; with winds of 111 mph or higher). NOAA has a 70% confidence in these ranges."
|(Image credit: NOAA)|
Hurricane Preparedness Week, as proclaimed by Governor Charlie Baker, runs from July 10 – 16. All week, the Massachusetts Emergency Management Agency (MEMA) will engage local communities across Massachusetts to highlight the risk of tropical storms and hurricanes, and encourage residents to take steps to prepare. As part of MEMA’s commitment to diversity and equity in emergency planning, this year’s campaign will include information to equip those living with disabilities and specific medical needs.
Massachusetts Emergency Management Agency
“Hurricane Preparedness Week is an annual reminder of the hazards that the Commonwealth faces and how residents can prepare during hurricane season,” said Public Safety and Security Secretary Terrence Reidy. "While it’s been 31 years since Hurricane Bob made landfall in New England, hurricanes and tropical storms remain a threat to Massachusetts and we ask residents to learn if they live in a hurricane evacuation zone, develop an emergency plan, build an emergency kit, and stay informed.”
"Today marks the first day of the Atlantic hurricane season, which will run until November 30. Long-term averages for the number of named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes are 14, 7, and 3, respectively."
Shared from https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc
|the first day of the Atlantic hurricane season|
"Threats from hurricanes don’t come just from wind and rain, storm surges, flooding and rip currents, or tornadoes and landslides. Hurricane-related threats also come in the form of scammers who use those weather emergencies to cheat people. Some of the most common weather-related frauds and scams include people who promise to help you with clean-up or repairs, but disappear with your money; those who pretend to be FEMA or other government agencies; people who promise you a job – if only you pay to get it; and those who promise you a place to rent – if only you wire them the money to get the place sight unseen.
The FTC’s site, Dealing with Weather Emergencies, has practical ideas to help you get ready for, deal with, and recover from a weather emergency. It also has advice on how to recognize, avoid, and report frauds and scams."
|Are you ready to deal with weather emergencies and avoid scams?|
|How to prepare for hurricane season 2022 and avoid storm-related scams|
|Atlantic #HurricaneSeason Outlook 2022|
|hurricane name listing for 2022|
🧵 To prepare for Tropical Storm #Henri and a potential power outage, here are some practical steps you can take to keep you and your family safe.
🔋 Make sure cellphones, laptops, and other electronics are fully charged.
⚡️ Power Outage Safety Tips: https://www.mass.gov/info-details/hurricane-safety-tips
|MAEnergy Environment: Hurricane Safety Tips|
"Keep an eye on this one. The National Hurricane Center says the expected track of Tropical Storm Henri has shifted, meaning it’s more likely it will hit the Northeastern states at the end of the week.“The forecast track of Henri has shifted toward the northeast coast of the U.S. this weekend and early next week, increasing the risk of direct storm surge, wind, and rain impacts in portions of the northeastern U.S. and Atlantic Canada during that time,” the forecasters said Wednesday , noting that Henri was on the verge of reaching hurricane strength. “Interests in these areas should closely follow the progress of Henri and check for updates to the forecast.”
|Tropical Storm Henri heads for New England|
|Above-normal activity predicted for this hurricane season. Learn more in this America Counts story.|
The weather is so nice and warm, after being confined indoor for winter (and due to COVID=19) it is about time we could enjoy it. Did you know that hurricane season officially starts soon? Alerts started on May 15. The season officially opens June 1.
Sign up for alerts from the National Weather Service (NWS) https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Additional info on service enhancements for this season as well as info on the social media accounts to track https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/NHC_new_products_services_2021.pdf
"Today, May 15th, marks the first day of routine issuance of the
Atlantic basin Tropical Weather Outlook in 2021. This product
describes significant areas of disturbed weather and their potential for tropical cyclone formation during the next five days. The Tropical Weather Outlook is issued from May 15 through November 30 each year. The issuance times of this product are 2 AM, 8 AM, 2 AM, and 8 PM EDT. After the change to standard time in November, the issuance times are 1 AM, 7 AM, 1 PM, and 7 PM EST.
A Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued to provide
updates, as necessary, in between the regularly scheduled issuances of the Tropical Weather Outlook. Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued under the same WMO and AWIPS headers as the regular Tropical Weather Outlooks.
A graphical version of the Tropical Weather Outlook is available on the web at: https://www.hurricanes.gov."
|There are no tropical cyclones in the Atlantic at this time.|
"Texas and Louisiana may have braced for the worst this week as back-to-back hurricanes Marco and Laura barreled toward them, but in this record-setting Atlantic hurricane season, almost every coastal U.S. state east of the Mississippi River should also be on high alert.
All but one of the 18 states bordering the Atlantic Ocean or Gulf of Mexico face a greater risk this year of a hurricane strike, according to the forecast from Colorado State University’s Department of Atmospheric Science, which has issued seasonal hurricane forecasts every year since 1984.
Only New Hampshire’s risk remains unchanged at a 1% chance of a direct hit. Every other state’s risk increased by 33-100%.
In Massachusetts, the CSU team predicted the odds of a land-falling hurricane this year at 10%, compared to a historical probability of 6%."
|In the News: "conditions have made 2020 a record-setter"|
The weekend could be wet and windy with the remains of Hurricane Laura eventually making it's way here. We can use the rain!
Follow the progress of this storm via the National Hurricane Center https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
|NOAA Laura Storm track|
|NOAA Laura Storm track - Weds AM|
|NOAA info on Isaias|
|if it maintains this track, Western MA will get more of the rain than we will|